YEARLY HIGH
1.5397 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.4064 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4511 SCR

2018 MAD to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 1.5397. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 1.4064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1334 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5037 to the December average rate of 1.4336, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5397 was up 2.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,699 SCR
2017 Average 7,006 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 7,032 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 666.83 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5118
1.4147
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4648, compared to 1.4375 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0273 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4648
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4375

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0922 SCR (High: 1.4985 / Low: 1.4064). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0129 SCR (High: 1.4384 / Low: 1.4256).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0922
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0129

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0303 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0303

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 1.4856) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3419), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1437 (+10.71%).

2018 Avg (March) 1.4856
2017 Avg (March) 1.3419

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5389 1.4732 1.5037
February 1.5359 1.4458 1.4814
March 1.5397 1.4627 1.4856
April 1.5014 1.4477 1.4626
May 1.4985 1.4064 1.4323
June 1.4367 1.4157 1.4228
July 1.4384 1.4256 1.4323
August 1.4506 1.4193 1.4333
September 1.5255 1.4390 1.4513
October 1.4666 1.4246 1.4392
November 1.4450 1.4223 1.4352
December 1.4590 1.4200 1.4336