2016 MDL to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.4955 ALL

YEARLY LOW

6.1011 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2413 ALL

2016 MDL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 6.4955. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 6.1011.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3943 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2536 to the December average rate of 6.3743, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.4955 was down 14.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.5776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,477 ALL

2015 Average 33,642 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 30,506 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,971.72 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.3939

6.1594

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2280, compared to 6.2546 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0266 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2280

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2546

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2578 ALL (High: 6.4190 / Low: 6.1612). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0619 ALL (High: 6.2384 / Low: 6.1764).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2578

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0619

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0576 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 6.3743) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.4062), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0319 (-0.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 6.3743

2015 Avg (December) 6.4062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4190	6.1612	6.2536
February	6.3363	6.1335	6.2124
March	6.3508	6.1980	6.2842
April	6.2758	6.1434	6.2265
May	6.2375	6.1011	6.1789
June	6.3151	6.1562	6.2125
July	6.2767	6.2077	6.2396
August	6.2570	6.1222	6.1850
September	6.2384	6.1764	6.2025
October	6.3100	6.1887	6.2413
November	6.3558	6.1681	6.2849
December	6.4955	6.2661	6.3743