2018 MDL to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.6781 ALL

YEARLY LOW

6.2235 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.4311 ALL

2018 MDL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 6.6781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 6.2235.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4546 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4589 to the December average rate of 6.3187, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.6781 was up 0.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.6632, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,391 ALL

2017 Average 32,254 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 31,117 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,273.12 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.5729

6.2955

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4292, compared to 6.4330 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4292

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4330

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2621 ALL (High: 6.6781 / Low: 6.4161). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1287 ALL (High: 6.4783 / Low: 6.3496).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2621

October Spread (Stable) ±0.1287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0891 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 6.5498) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.2762), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2737 (+4.36%).

2018 Avg (August) 6.5498

2017 Avg (August) 6.2762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5320	6.3772	6.4589
February	6.5604	6.3483	6.4466
March	6.4974	6.3272	6.4207
April	6.4891	6.3561	6.4057
May	6.5143	6.3271	6.4387
June	6.4934	6.2685	6.4044
July	6.5319	6.3834	6.4521
August	6.6781	6.4161	6.5498
September	6.5474	6.3632	6.4615
October	6.4783	6.3496	6.4082
November	6.5032	6.3482	6.4077
December	6.4062	6.2235	6.3187