2014 MDL to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1111 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.1011 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1053 BGN

2014 MDL to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.1111. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.1011.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0100 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1090 to the December average rate of 0.1030, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1111 was down 10.24% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1237, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 555 BGN

2013 Average 588 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 506 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 49.79 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1096

0.1024

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1058, compared to 0.1049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1058

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0041 BGN (High: 0.1052 / Low: 0.1011). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 BGN (High: 0.1073 / Low: 0.1054).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.1090) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1214), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0123 (-10.17%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.1090

2013 Avg (January) 0.1214

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1111	0.1071	0.1090
February	0.1077	0.1041	0.1062
March	0.1068	0.1041	0.1054
April	0.1070	0.1047	0.1058
May	0.1061	0.1037	0.1050
June	0.1046	0.1021	0.1034
July	0.1054	0.1021	0.1035
August	0.1070	0.1050	0.1063
September	0.1073	0.1054	0.1061
October	0.1064	0.1046	0.1054
November	0.1064	0.1033	0.1050
December	0.1052	0.1011	0.1030