YEARLY HIGH
0.1025 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0946 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0997 BGN

2019 MDL to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 0.1025. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 0.0946.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0080 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1001 to the December average rate of 0.1020, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.1025 was down 1.43% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.1040, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 513 BGN
2018 Average 493 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 473 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39.78 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1026
0.0949
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0989, compared to 0.1006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0989
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.0042 BGN (High: 0.1002 / Low: 0.0959). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 BGN (High: 0.1014 / Low: 0.1001).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0042
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 0.1008) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0957), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0051 (+5.30%).

2019 Avg (March) 0.1008
2018 Avg (March) 0.0957

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1014 0.0982 0.1001
February 0.1014 0.1001 0.1008
March 0.1025 0.0993 0.1008
April 0.1008 0.0968 0.0987
May 0.0981 0.0961 0.0974
June 0.0964 0.0946 0.0956
July 0.1002 0.0959 0.0985
August 0.1015 0.0983 0.0997
September 0.1013 0.0991 0.1003
October 0.1021 0.1004 0.1013
November 0.1023 0.1004 0.1016
December 0.1025 0.1011 0.1020