YEARLY HIGH
0.1040 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0930 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0986 BGN

2018 MDL to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 14, valuing the pair at 0.1040. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 0.0930.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0110 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0946 to the December average rate of 0.1001, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1040 was up 6.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 520 BGN
2017 Average 470 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 465 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 55.17 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1027
0.0939
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0968, compared to 0.1005 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0037 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0968
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1005

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0044 BGN (High: 0.1040 / Low: 0.0996). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 BGN (High: 0.0977 / Low: 0.0961).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0044
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.1019) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0926), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0093 (+10.07%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.1019
2017 Avg (August) 0.0926

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0957 0.0935 0.0946
February 0.0962 0.0930 0.0950
March 0.0968 0.0945 0.0957
April 0.0977 0.0961 0.0969
May 0.1001 0.0981 0.0992
June 0.1004 0.0984 0.0993
July 0.1013 0.0990 0.1001
August 0.1040 0.0996 0.1019
September 0.1014 0.0985 0.0999
October 0.1011 0.0990 0.1001
November 0.1021 0.0995 0.1006
December 0.1011 0.0990 0.1001