YEARLY HIGH
17.2257 HUF
YEARLY LOW
16.0053 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.6102 HUF

2014 MDL to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 17.2257. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 16.0053.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2204 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.8005 to the December average rate of 16.3952, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 17.2257 was down 10.20% compared to the 2013 peak of 19.1832, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 86,129 HUF
2013 Average 89,237 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 80,027 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,102.11 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

17.1311
16.0748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5812, compared to 16.6393 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0580 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5812
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.6393

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.7251 HUF (High: 17.2257 / Low: 16.5007). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2140 HUF (High: 16.7072 / Low: 16.4932).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7251
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2140

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4232 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4232

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 16.8129) against the same month in 2013 (average: 18.0822), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2693 (-7.02%).

2014 Avg (February) 16.8129
2013 Avg (February) 18.0822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 17.1623 16.5668 16.8005
February 17.2257 16.5007 16.8129
March 17.0144 16.4183 16.7714
April 16.7072 16.4932 16.6088
May 16.5341 16.0589 16.3310
June 16.3946 16.0263 16.1628
July 16.8850 16.2228 16.3832
August 17.1543 16.7866 17.0430
September 17.2062 16.7975 16.9877
October 16.8570 16.3953 16.5646
November 16.7681 16.0821 16.4617
December 16.7166 16.0053 16.3952