YEARLY HIGH
17.2403 HUF
YEARLY LOW
14.7588 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.0800 HUF

2018 MDL to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 17.2403. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 14.7588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4815 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.9495 to the December average rate of 16.5146, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17.2403 was up 10.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 15.6039, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 86,202 HUF
2017 Average 74,359 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 73,794 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,407.47 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

17.0143
14.7618
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.5457, compared to 16.6143 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.5457
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.6143

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.7214 HUF (High: 16.7920 / Low: 16.0705). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3107 HUF (High: 15.1591 / Low: 14.8484).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7214
January Spread (Stable) ±0.3107

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2374 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2374

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 16.8266) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.4104), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4162 (+16.77%).

2018 Avg (August) 16.8266
2017 Avg (August) 14.4104

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.1591 14.8484 14.9495
February 15.4299 14.7588 15.1420
March 15.4236 15.1072 15.2827
April 15.6556 15.2731 15.4425
May 16.4300 15.7414 16.0701
June 16.7920 16.0705 16.3877
July 16.8220 16.3594 16.6087
August 17.2403 16.5295 16.8266
September 16.9715 16.3118 16.5892
October 16.7886 16.3175 16.5790
November 16.8290 16.3459 16.5677
December 16.7242 16.2747 16.5146