YEARLY HIGH
14.9302 HUF
YEARLY LOW
13.6567 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.1516 HUF

2016 MDL to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 14.9302. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 13.6567.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2735 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.2351 to the December average rate of 14.7162, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.9302 was down 12.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 17.1209, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,651 HUF
2015 Average 74,594 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 68,284 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,367.41 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14.7963
13.8359
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.0774, compared to 14.2258 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1483 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.0774
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.2258

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.7768 HUF (High: 14.5888 / Low: 13.8120). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2888 HUF (High: 14.0843 / Low: 13.7954).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7768
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2888

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3299 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 14.7162) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.6425), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0737 (+0.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 14.7162
2015 Avg (December) 14.6425

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.7006 13.9796 14.2351
February 14.2333 13.7217 13.9159
March 14.3627 13.9306 14.1364
April 14.1067 13.8101 13.9939
May 14.2353 13.6567 14.0615
June 14.5888 13.8120 14.1218
July 14.4727 14.1444 14.3670
August 14.2080 13.8986 14.0371
September 14.0843 13.7954 13.9491
October 14.1986 13.7603 14.0124
November 14.5652 13.8663 14.2727
December 14.9302 14.4484 14.7162