YEARLY HIGH
0.3682 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.3293 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3523 TJS

2014 MDL to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.3682. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 0.3293.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0389 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3624 to the December average rate of 0.3338, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3682 was down 7.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.3970, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,841 TJS
2013 Average 1,901 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 1,646 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 194.64 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3652
0.3309
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3585, compared to 0.3460 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3460

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.0128 TJS (High: 0.3678 / Low: 0.3549). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 TJS (High: 0.3413 / Low: 0.3364).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0128
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0115 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.3624) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.3928), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0304 (-7.75%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.3624
2013 Avg (January) 0.3928

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3682 0.3566 0.3624
February 0.3576 0.3519 0.3557
March 0.3624 0.3520 0.3575
April 0.3645 0.3570 0.3609
May 0.3678 0.3549 0.3613
June 0.3562 0.3514 0.3534
July 0.3579 0.3520 0.3542
August 0.3645 0.3549 0.3600
September 0.3543 0.3437 0.3485
October 0.3439 0.3376 0.3409
November 0.3413 0.3364 0.3387
December 0.3390 0.3293 0.3338