YEARLY HIGH
0.5653 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5154 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5439 TJS

2019 MDL to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 0.5653. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 2, dropping to 0.5154.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0500 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5508 to the December average rate of 0.5611, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5653 was down 0.96% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.5708, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,827 TJS
2018 Average 2,723 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,577 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 249.80 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.5652
0.5163
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5388, compared to 0.5489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0100 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5388
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0204 TJS (High: 0.5495 / Low: 0.5291). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0063 TJS (High: 0.5552 / Low: 0.5489).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0204
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0063

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0147 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.5611) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5487), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0125 (+2.27%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.5611
2018 Avg (December) 0.5487

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5538 0.5457 0.5508
February 0.5552 0.5489 0.5521
March 0.5541 0.5438 0.5493
April 0.5452 0.5275 0.5346
May 0.5294 0.5177 0.5259
June 0.5233 0.5154 0.5204
July 0.5399 0.5231 0.5330
August 0.5495 0.5291 0.5403
September 0.5521 0.5416 0.5473
October 0.5621 0.5468 0.5550
November 0.5599 0.5523 0.5566
December 0.5653 0.5533 0.5611