YEARLY HIGH
0.5708 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5144 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5444 TJS

2018 MDL to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 9, valuing the pair at 0.5708. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.5144.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0564 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5204 to the December average rate of 0.5487, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5708 was up 10.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5174, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,854 TJS
2017 Average 2,341 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,572 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 282.07 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5707
0.5158
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5328, compared to 0.5561 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0233 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5328
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5561

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0259 TJS (High: 0.5684 / Low: 0.5424). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0073 TJS (High: 0.5416 / Low: 0.5342).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0259
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0069 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0069

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.5661) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4926), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0735 (+14.92%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.5661
2017 Avg (August) 0.4926

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5286 0.5144 0.5204
February 0.5334 0.5237 0.5291
March 0.5363 0.5278 0.5324
April 0.5416 0.5342 0.5383
May 0.5431 0.5294 0.5381
June 0.5428 0.5303 0.5384
July 0.5684 0.5424 0.5566
August 0.5708 0.5601 0.5661
September 0.5656 0.5573 0.5607
October 0.5584 0.5477 0.5538
November 0.5546 0.5462 0.5504
December 0.5564 0.5448 0.5487