2016 MDL to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3656 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.1363 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2853 UAH

2016 MDL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.3656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 1.1363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2293 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1964 to the December average rate of 1.3062, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.3656 was down 12.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.5663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,828 UAH

2015 Average 5,811 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 5,682 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,146.33 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3432

1.1830

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2799, compared to 1.2908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0108 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2799

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1185 UAH (High: 1.2548 / Low: 1.1363). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0094 UAH (High: 1.2603 / Low: 1.2509).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1185

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0094

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0347 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0347

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.3062) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1894), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1169 (+9.83%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.3062

2015 Avg (December) 1.1894

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2548	1.1363	1.1964
February	1.3626	1.2594	1.3190
March	1.3564	1.2751	1.3279
April	1.3398	1.2751	1.3015
May	1.2970	1.2549	1.2739
June	1.2661	1.2544	1.2610
July	1.2603	1.2509	1.2555
August	1.3230	1.2571	1.2750
September	1.3571	1.3049	1.3299
October	1.3148	1.2701	1.2952
November	1.3022	1.2622	1.2827
December	1.3656	1.2674	1.3062