2018 MDL to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7302 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.5355 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6185 UAH

2018 MDL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 1.7302. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 31, dropping to 1.5355.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1948 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6808 to the December average rate of 1.6155, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7302 was up 5.18% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6450, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,651 UAH

2017 Average 7,228 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 7,677 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 973.83 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6933

1.5426

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6020, compared to 1.6350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0330 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6020

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0935 UAH (High: 1.7302 / Low: 1.6367). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0311 UAH (High: 1.6700 / Low: 1.6389).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0935

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0311

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0526 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0526

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.6808) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3581), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3227 (+23.76%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.6808

2017 Avg (January) 1.3581

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7302	1.6367	1.6808
February	1.6690	1.6024	1.6282
March	1.6197	1.5670	1.5875
April	1.6087	1.5746	1.5906
May	1.5863	1.5355	1.5699
June	1.5721	1.5382	1.5552
July	1.6167	1.5515	1.5787
August	1.6861	1.6233	1.6547
September	1.7089	1.6636	1.6777
October	1.6700	1.6389	1.6516
November	1.6520	1.6054	1.6320
December	1.6514	1.5945	1.6155