2021 MDL to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6578 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.4844 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5466 UAH

2021 MDL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MDL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 1.6578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 14, dropping to 1.4844.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1734 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6360 to the December average rate of 1.5349, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.6578 was down 2.78% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.7051, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,289 UAH

2020 Average 7,833 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 7,422 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 866.99 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.6492

1.4914

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5766, compared to 1.5166 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0600 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5766

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5166

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.0555 UAH (High: 1.6021 / Low: 1.5466). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0242 UAH (High: 1.5261 / Low: 1.5018).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0555

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0348 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0348

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.6360) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.3911), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2449 (+17.60%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.6360

2020 Avg (January) 1.3911

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6578	1.6145	1.6360
February	1.6249	1.5846	1.6012
March	1.6021	1.5466	1.5703
April	1.5722	1.5409	1.5597
May	1.5728	1.5463	1.5601
June	1.5644	1.5163	1.5320
July	1.5206	1.4952	1.5115
August	1.5261	1.5018	1.5151
September	1.5329	1.5065	1.5191
October	1.5282	1.5037	1.5144
November	1.5344	1.4844	1.5046
December	1.5535	1.5207	1.5349