2014 MDL to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4852 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.4028 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4503 VEF

2014 MDL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.4852. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.4028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0825 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4775 to the December average rate of 0.4093, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.4852 was down 6.94% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.5214, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,426 VEF

2013 Average 2,324 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,014 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 412.30 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.4843

0.4025

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4662, compared to 0.4344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0318 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4662

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0174 VEF (High: 0.4852 / Low: 0.4678). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 VEF (High: 0.4540 / Low: 0.4482).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0174

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0147 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.4775) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.3542), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1233 (+34.82%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.4775

2013 Avg (January) 0.3542

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4852	0.4678	0.4775
February	0.4687	0.4608	0.4661
March	0.4746	0.4607	0.4683
April	0.4721	0.4655	0.4697
May	0.4692	0.4551	0.4635
June	0.4563	0.4487	0.4523
July	0.4540	0.4482	0.4507
August	0.4600	0.4485	0.4551
September	0.4482	0.4332	0.4404
October	0.4337	0.4259	0.4297
November	0.4289	0.4167	0.4211
December	0.4198	0.4028	0.4093