YEARLY HIGH
15135.2905 VEF
YEARLY LOW
13324.1914 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
14422.4149 VEF

2020 MDL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MDL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 10, valuing the pair at 15135.2905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 6, dropping to 13324.1914.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1811.0991 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14303.5514 to the December average rate of 14452.7858, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 15135.2905 was up 3.48% compared to the 2019 peak of 14625.8996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,676,452 VEF
2019 Average 70,927,951 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 66,620,957 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,055,495.35 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

15153.7372
13579.6082
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14128.5181, compared to 14716.3117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 587.7936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14128.5181
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14716.3117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 788.5959 VEF (High: 14112.7873 / Low: 13324.1914). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 212.2731 VEF (High: 14620.9297 / Low: 14408.6566).

April Spread (Volatile) ±788.5959
November Spread (Stable) ±212.2731

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 363.2468 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -363.2468

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 15022.5598) against the same month in 2019 (average: 14098.7815), the exchange rate shifted by +923.7783 (+6.55%).

2020 Avg (August) 15022.5598
2019 Avg (August) 14098.7815

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14535.2075 14048.4163 14303.5514
February 14420.9019 13948.7848 14154.7836
March 14423.3871 13686.6347 14074.0324
April 14112.7873 13324.1914 13710.7857
May 14230.8139 13860.5762 14046.1079
June 14663.1730 14269.3236 14481.8479
July 15019.7489 14403.5084 14662.4130
August 15135.2905 14891.0370 15022.5598
September 15090.5623 14732.7499 14949.0045
October 14806.0482 14540.2996 14694.0781
November 14620.9297 14408.6566 14517.0291
December 14560.0563 14335.1791 14452.7858