2016 MDL to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5114 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.3065 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4562 VEF

2016 MDL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 0.5114. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.3065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2049 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3110 to the December average rate of 0.4964, the exchange rate registered a net change of 59.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5114 was up 26.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,557 VEF

2015 Average 1,689 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 1,533 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,024.42 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5274

0.2913

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4103, compared to 0.5022 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0919 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4103

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5022

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0139 VEF (High: 0.3204 / Low: 0.3065). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 VEF (High: 0.5070 / Low: 0.5044).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0139

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0048 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.5078) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3513), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1564 (+44.52%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.5078

2015 Avg (April) 0.3513

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3204	0.3065	0.3110
February	0.3176	0.3110	0.3148
March	0.3237	0.3155	0.3200
April	0.5114	0.5052	0.5078
May	0.5073	0.4981	0.5036
June	0.5078	0.5010	0.5044
July	0.5077	0.5025	0.5050
August	0.5070	0.5044	0.5060
September	0.5068	0.5042	0.5055
October	0.5075	0.4974	0.5025
November	0.5043	0.4929	0.4976
December	0.5030	0.4936	0.4964