YEARLY HIGH
0.8227 ZAR
YEARLY LOW
0.6700 ZAR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7394 ZAR

2016 MDL to ZAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to ZAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 0.8227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 0.6700.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1526 ZAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8010 to the December average rate of 0.6891, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8227 was up 2.50% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8026, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,113 ZAR
2015 Average 3,402 ZAR
Yearly Trough Low 3,350 ZAR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 763.08 ZAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8121
0.6779
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ZAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7742, compared to 0.7047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0695 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7742
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0753 ZAR (High: 0.7956 / Low: 0.7204). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0326 ZAR (High: 0.7026 / Low: 0.6700).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0753
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0326

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0345 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0345

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.8010) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6961), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1049 (+15.07%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.8010
2015 Avg (January) 0.6961

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8227 0.7756 0.8010
February 0.8033 0.7607 0.7872
March 0.8021 0.7561 0.7771
April 0.7771 0.7209 0.7440
May 0.7956 0.7204 0.7729
June 0.7875 0.7308 0.7628
July 0.7477 0.7063 0.7283
August 0.7428 0.6767 0.6985
September 0.7389 0.6856 0.7137
October 0.7242 0.6774 0.7015
November 0.7189 0.6711 0.6972
December 0.7026 0.6700 0.6891