2014 MGA to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0797 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0653 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0724 DJF

2014 MGA to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MGA to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.0797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 16, dropping to 0.0653.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0144 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0785 to the December average rate of 0.0686, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0797 was down 2.98% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 398 DJF

2013 Average 401 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 326 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 71.98 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0798

0.0646

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0761, compared to 0.0688 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0072 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0761

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0688

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0036 DJF (High: 0.0707 / Low: 0.0671). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 DJF (High: 0.0766 / Low: 0.0752).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0036

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.0785) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0794), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-1.03%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.0785

2013 Avg (January) 0.0794

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0797	0.0775	0.0785
February	0.0774	0.0758	0.0766
March	0.0766	0.0752	0.0759
April	0.0765	0.0750	0.0757
May	0.0759	0.0744	0.0752
June	0.0756	0.0734	0.0743
July	0.0738	0.0718	0.0727
August	0.0724	0.0698	0.0709
September	0.0707	0.0671	0.0687
October	0.0672	0.0653	0.0662
November	0.0670	0.0653	0.0659
December	0.0699	0.0668	0.0686