2016 MGA to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0604 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0527 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0560 DJF

2016 MGA to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MGA to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 0.0604. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0527.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0077 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0553 to the December average rate of 0.0535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0604 was down 12.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0693, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 302 DJF

2015 Average 288 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 263 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 38.63 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0593

0.0530

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0554, compared to 0.0565 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0554

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0565

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0053 DJF (High: 0.0604 / Low: 0.0551). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 DJF (High: 0.0556 / Low: 0.0551).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0053

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0023 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 0.0577) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0541), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0036 (+6.67%).

2016 Avg (July) 0.0577

2015 Avg (July) 0.0541

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0556	0.0551	0.0553
February	0.0564	0.0552	0.0558
March	0.0559	0.0546	0.0554
April	0.0561	0.0555	0.0558
May	0.0566	0.0546	0.0559
June	0.0549	0.0540	0.0545
July	0.0604	0.0551	0.0577
August	0.0599	0.0581	0.0587
September	0.0586	0.0572	0.0582
October	0.0572	0.0551	0.0559
November	0.0565	0.0536	0.0549
December	0.0542	0.0527	0.0535