YEARLY HIGH
0.0576 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0483 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0533 DJF

2018 MGA to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MGA to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 0.0576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 1, dropping to 0.0483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0092 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0551 to the December average rate of 0.0501, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0576 was down 6.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0616, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 288 DJF
2017 Average 287 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 242 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.15 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0569
0.0488
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0550, compared to 0.0516 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0550
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0516

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0028 DJF (High: 0.0512 / Low: 0.0483). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 DJF (High: 0.0542 / Low: 0.0534).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0028
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.0562) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0562), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0000 (+0.06%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.0562
2017 Avg (March) 0.0562

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0557 0.0547 0.0551
February 0.0568 0.0553 0.0560
March 0.0576 0.0550 0.0562
April 0.0553 0.0542 0.0550
May 0.0552 0.0535 0.0545
June 0.0537 0.0523 0.0529
July 0.0542 0.0525 0.0532
August 0.0542 0.0534 0.0538
September 0.0534 0.0518 0.0523
October 0.0518 0.0502 0.0508
November 0.0505 0.0485 0.0495
December 0.0512 0.0483 0.0501