2016 MGA to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0377 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.0332 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0350 RSD

2016 MGA to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MGA to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 0.0377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 4, dropping to 0.0332.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0045 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0351 to the December average rate of 0.0351, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0377 was down 11.05% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 189 RSD

2015 Average 176 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 166 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22.66 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0367

0.0334

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0344, compared to 0.0357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0344

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0033 RSD (High: 0.0377 / Low: 0.0344). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 RSD (High: 0.0353 / Low: 0.0349).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0033

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 0.0362) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0333), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0030 (+8.91%).

2016 Avg (July) 0.0362

2015 Avg (July) 0.0333

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0354	0.0347	0.0351
February	0.0354	0.0342	0.0347
March	0.0354	0.0337	0.0345
April	0.0343	0.0336	0.0340
May	0.0345	0.0336	0.0342
June	0.0345	0.0332	0.0336
July	0.0377	0.0344	0.0362
August	0.0374	0.0358	0.0364
September	0.0364	0.0353	0.0360
October	0.0353	0.0349	0.0351
November	0.0356	0.0346	0.0352
December	0.0360	0.0345	0.0351