YEARLY HIGH
0.0314 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0284 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0300 RSD

2018 MGA to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MGA to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 10, valuing the pair at 0.0314. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.0284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0030 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0300 to the December average rate of 0.0293, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0314 was down 18.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0383, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157 RSD
2017 Average 172 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 142 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15.11 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0311
0.0287
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0302, compared to 0.0298 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0302
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0298

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0015 RSD (High: 0.0310 / Low: 0.0295). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 RSD (High: 0.0304 / Low: 0.0296).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.0309) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0341), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0032 (-9.27%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.0309
2017 Avg (August) 0.0341

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0307 0.0295 0.0300
February 0.0310 0.0295 0.0302
March 0.0311 0.0298 0.0304
April 0.0304 0.0296 0.0299
May 0.0312 0.0301 0.0307
June 0.0306 0.0294 0.0301
July 0.0309 0.0297 0.0302
August 0.0314 0.0304 0.0309
September 0.0305 0.0294 0.0298
October 0.0300 0.0288 0.0294
November 0.0295 0.0284 0.0289
December 0.0297 0.0284 0.0293