2014 MOP to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3410 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.2751 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2946 BRL

2014 MOP to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.3410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 9, dropping to 0.2751.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0658 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2976 to the December average rate of 0.3310, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3410 was up 11.73% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.3052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,705 BRL

2013 Average 1,351 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 1,376 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 329.24 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3363

0.2729

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2874, compared to 0.3018 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0145 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2874

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3018

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0265 BRL (High: 0.3055 / Low: 0.2790). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 BRL (High: 0.2805 / Low: 0.2765).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0265

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0116 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.3310) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.2938), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0372 (+12.65%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.3310

2013 Avg (December) 0.2938

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3044	0.2932	0.2976
February	0.3042	0.2911	0.2982
March	0.2951	0.2830	0.2910
April	0.2848	0.2751	0.2795
May	0.2805	0.2765	0.2781
June	0.2853	0.2752	0.2797
July	0.2829	0.2759	0.2785
August	0.2870	0.2799	0.2838
September	0.3055	0.2790	0.2922
October	0.3140	0.2991	0.3065
November	0.3269	0.3094	0.3191
December	0.3410	0.3201	0.3310