YEARLY HIGH
0.7877 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.6587 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6969 BRL

2025 MOP to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.7877. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 0.6587.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1289 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7532 to the December average rate of 0.6825, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.7877 was down 6.57% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.8431, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,938 BRL
2024 Average 3,356 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 3,294 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 644.75 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.7618
0.6586
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7182, compared to 0.6756 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0426 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7182
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6756

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 0.0733 BRL (High: 0.7794 / Low: 0.7061). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 BRL (High: 0.6747 / Low: 0.6587).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0733
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0338 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 0.7532) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.6098), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1434 (+23.52%).

2025 Avg (January) 0.7532
2024 Avg (January) 0.6098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7877 0.7280 0.7532
February 0.7351 0.7099 0.7194
March 0.7794 0.7061 0.7224
April 0.7517 0.7029 0.7235
May 0.7171 0.6986 0.7051
June 0.7087 0.6717 0.6855
July 0.6929 0.6688 0.6845
August 0.6958 0.6665 0.6760
September 0.6804 0.6593 0.6693
October 0.6915 0.6628 0.6738
November 0.6747 0.6587 0.6672
December 0.6979 0.6619 0.6825