YEARLY HIGH
0.6878 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.6143 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6408 BRL

2026 MOP to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.6878. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 20, dropping to 0.6143.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0734 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6656 to the December average rate of 0.6352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.6878 was down 12.69% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.7877, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,439 BRL
2025 Average 3,484 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 3,072 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 367.16 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.6697
0.6211
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6417, compared to 0.6352 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6417
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6352

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0420 BRL (High: 0.6878 / Low: 0.6457). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0102 BRL (High: 0.6288 / Low: 0.6186).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0420
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0102

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0258 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0258

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.6656) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.7532), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0875 (-11.62%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.6656
2025 Avg (January) 0.7532

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6878 0.6457 0.6656
February 0.6550 0.6369 0.6466
March 0.6613 0.6377 0.6510
April 0.6407 0.6143 0.6252
May 0.6288 0.6186 0.6256
June 0.6447 0.6229 0.6364
July 0.6455 0.6285 0.6352