YEARLY HIGH
5314.8539 IRR
YEARLY LOW
5188.6964 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5224.0702 IRR

2019 MOP to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 5314.8539. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 2, dropping to 5188.6964.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 126.1575 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5238.5416 to the December average rate of 5239.3879, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5314.8539 was down 2.14% compared to the 2018 peak of 5431.2526, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,574,270 IRR
2018 Average 25,207,171 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 25,943,482 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 630,787.54 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5242.3027
5207.3248
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5224.0561, compared to 5224.0844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0283 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5224.0561
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5224.0844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 123.7874 IRR (High: 5314.8539 / Low: 5191.0665). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 16.0978 IRR (High: 5232.0206 / Low: 5215.9229).

January Spread (Volatile) ±123.7874
November Spread (Stable) ±16.0978

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 28.3019 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -28.3019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5238.5416) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4476.0938), the exchange rate shifted by +762.4477 (+17.03%).

2019 Avg (January) 5238.5416
2018 Avg (January) 4476.0938

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5314.8539 5191.0665 5238.5416
February 5258.6794 5203.9001 5210.2396
March 5275.7593 5206.5171 5217.5323
April 5286.7589 5199.4114 5223.3263
May 5283.7248 5200.3438 5216.9850
June 5301.8638 5202.7143 5237.7117
July 5248.0729 5212.6031 5232.0234
August 5300.1192 5209.1072 5217.3548
September 5262.5685 5188.6964 5218.8471
October 5232.1247 5208.3031 5213.9674
November 5232.0206 5215.9229 5222.9256
December 5256.6547 5220.2336 5239.3879