YEARLY HIGH
8295.7515 IRR
YEARLY LOW
5223.0304 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5279.4582 IRR

2020 MOP to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 7, valuing the pair at 8295.7515. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 5223.0304.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3072.7211 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5258.8510 to the December average rate of 5272.9511, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 8295.7515 was up 56.09% compared to the 2019 peak of 5314.8539, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,478,758 IRR
2019 Average 26,120,830 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 26,115,152 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,363,605.52 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5383.3281
5247.1112
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5268.8038, compared to 5290.1126 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.3088 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5268.8038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5290.1126

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was July, with a trading range of 3027.2926 IRR (High: 8295.7515 / Low: 5268.4589). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.3923 IRR (High: 5277.5419 / Low: 5271.1497).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3027.2926
September Spread (Stable) ±6.3923

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 98.4671 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -98.4671

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2020: 5371.9767) against the same month in 2019 (average: 5232.0234), the exchange rate shifted by +139.9533 (+2.67%).

2020 Avg (July) 5371.9767
2019 Avg (July) 5232.0234

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5276.8201 5223.0304 5258.8510
February 5268.5243 5244.2849 5258.4626
March 5330.8690 5229.6864 5268.6912
April 5318.0686 5250.4720 5275.2319
May 5309.0827 5270.4443 5276.1565
June 5285.4889 5271.5773 5275.4297
July 8295.7515 5268.4589 5371.9767
August 5288.5098 5259.3777 5273.5096
September 5277.5419 5271.1497 5274.4658
October 5279.1618 5272.4876 5274.5879
November 5283.8670 5267.7152 5273.1845
December 5277.5198 5270.1396 5272.9511