YEARLY HIGH
1.8731 NAD
YEARLY LOW
1.4313 NAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6380 NAD

2018 MOP to NAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to NAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 1.8731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 1.4313.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4417 NAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5134 to the December average rate of 1.7667, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.8731 was up 4.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7987, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,365 NAD
2017 Average 8,292 NAD
Yearly Trough Low 7,157 NAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,208.55 NAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.8449
1.4336
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5221, compared to 1.7539 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2318 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5221
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7539

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1639 NAD (High: 1.7990 / Low: 1.6351). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0542 NAD (High: 1.4950 / Low: 1.4409).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1639
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0542

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0480 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0480

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.8106) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6332), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1774 (+10.86%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.8106
2017 Avg (September) 1.6332

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5465 1.4651 1.5134
February 1.5098 1.4313 1.4680
March 1.4950 1.4409 1.4678
April 1.5383 1.4638 1.4974
May 1.5754 1.5172 1.5481
June 1.7103 1.5531 1.6376
July 1.7134 1.6217 1.6649
August 1.7990 1.6351 1.7341
September 1.8731 1.7525 1.8106
October 1.8417 1.7549 1.7975
November 1.7930 1.6999 1.7495
December 1.8061 1.6969 1.7667