YEARLY HIGH
1.0367 SBD
YEARLY LOW
0.9869 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0162 SBD

2019 MOP to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 1.0367. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 0.9869.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0498 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0040 to the December average rate of 1.0308, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.0367 was up 1.57% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.0206, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,184 SBD
2018 Average 4,881 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 4,935 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 249.00 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.0335
1.0009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0092, compared to 1.0232 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0141 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0092
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0232

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0376 SBD (High: 1.0246 / Low: 0.9869). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0131 SBD (High: 1.0270 / Low: 1.0139).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0376
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0109 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1.0308) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.0031), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0277 (+2.76%).

2019 Avg (December) 1.0308
2018 Avg (December) 1.0031

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0246 0.9869 1.0040
February 1.0153 0.9895 1.0036
March 1.0127 0.9944 1.0056
April 1.0175 0.9899 1.0089
May 1.0180 1.0027 1.0128
June 1.0270 1.0139 1.0202
July 1.0318 1.0128 1.0241
August 1.0218 1.0047 1.0131
September 1.0320 1.0035 1.0211
October 1.0327 1.0163 1.0242
November 1.0345 1.0076 1.0261
December 1.0367 1.0213 1.0308