YEARLY HIGH
1.0193 SBD
YEARLY LOW
0.9920 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9999 SBD

2026 MOP to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 1.0193. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 19, dropping to 0.9920.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0272 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0113 to the December average rate of 0.9992, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.0193 was down 4.34% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.0655, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,096 SBD
2025 Average 5,175 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 4,960 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 136.12 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.0128
0.9941
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0000, compared to 0.9992 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0000
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9992

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0182 SBD (High: 1.0193 / Low: 1.0011). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 SBD (High: 0.9975 / Low: 0.9940).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0182
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0108 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 1.0113) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.0519), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0406 (-3.86%).

2026 Avg (January) 1.0113
2025 Avg (January) 1.0519

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0193 1.0011 1.0113
February 1.0043 0.9933 1.0005
March 1.0042 0.9940 0.9987
April 1.0004 0.9920 0.9969
May 0.9975 0.9940 0.9957
June 0.9989 0.9939 0.9971
July 1.0032 0.9950 0.9992