YEARLY HIGH
3.5945 UAH
YEARLY LOW
3.2057 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3695 UAH

2018 MOP to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 3.5945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 3.2057.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3888 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5371 to the December average rate of 3.4429, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.5945 was up 2.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.4978, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,972 UAH
2017 Average 16,574 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 16,028 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,943.99 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.5672
3.2067
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3141, compared to 3.4249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1108 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3141
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1608 UAH (High: 3.4943 / Low: 3.3335). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0348 UAH (High: 3.2567 / Low: 3.2218).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1608
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1679 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1679

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.5371) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.4109), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1262 (+3.70%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.5371
2017 Avg (January) 3.4109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5945 3.4502 3.5371
February 3.4581 3.3180 3.3692
March 3.3436 3.2124 3.2574
April 3.2765 3.2057 3.2367
May 3.2567 3.2218 3.2386
June 3.2778 3.2204 3.2457
July 3.3229 3.2417 3.2636
August 3.4943 3.3335 3.4053
September 3.5209 3.4715 3.4923
October 3.5087 3.4584 3.4807
November 3.5173 3.4166 3.4646
December 3.5001 3.3931 3.4429