YEARLY HIGH
5.5747 UAH
YEARLY LOW
5.2745 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4480 UAH

2026 MOP to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 5.5747. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 5.2745.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3002 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3546 to the December average rate of 5.5341, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5.5747 was up 5.20% compared to the 2025 peak of 5.2992, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,874 UAH
2025 Average 25,961 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 26,373 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,501.15 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5.5612
5.3358
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4337, compared to 5.5341 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4337
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5341

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.1427 UAH (High: 5.4925 / Low: 5.3498). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0447 UAH (High: 5.4902 / Low: 5.4454).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1427
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0447

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0126 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 5.5424) against the same month in 2025 (average: 5.1454), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3970 (+7.72%).

2026 Avg (June) 5.5424
2025 Avg (June) 5.1454

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4141 5.2745 5.3546
February 5.3793 5.3298 5.3605
March 5.4925 5.3498 5.4386
April 5.4762 5.3714 5.4259
May 5.4902 5.4454 5.4801
June 5.5747 5.4882 5.5424
July 5.5603 5.5096 5.5341