YEARLY HIGH
3.5015 UAH
YEARLY LOW
2.8951 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1998 UAH

2019 MOP to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 3.5015. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.8951.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6064 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4536 to the December average rate of 2.9314, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.5015 was down 2.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.5945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,507 UAH
2018 Average 16,848 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 14,475 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,031.85 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5059
2.8792
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3320, compared to 3.0675 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2646 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3320
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0675

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.1523 UAH (High: 3.2656 / Low: 3.1134). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0766 UAH (High: 2.9716 / Low: 2.8951).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1523
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0766

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0941 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0941

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.4536) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.5371), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0835 (-2.36%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.4536
2018 Avg (January) 3.5371

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5015 3.4155 3.4536
February 3.4294 3.3244 3.3596
March 3.3702 3.2565 3.3240
April 3.3616 3.2668 3.3117
May 3.3348 3.2347 3.2634
June 3.3626 3.2502 3.2800
July 3.2656 3.1134 3.1945
August 3.1853 3.1008 3.1280
September 3.1302 2.9838 3.0612
October 3.1158 3.0357 3.0732
November 3.0735 2.9717 3.0166
December 2.9716 2.8951 2.9314