2016 MRO to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5.0795 BIF

YEARLY LOW

4.3648 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.6061 BIF

2016 MRO to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MRO to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 5.0795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 25, dropping to 4.3648.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7147 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6734 to the December average rate of 4.6785, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.0795 was down 7.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.4831, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,398 BIF

2015 Average 25,359 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 21,824 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,573.51 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.7030

4.4090

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5366, compared to 4.6756 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1390 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5366

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6756

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.5655 BIF (High: 5.0795 / Low: 4.5141). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0331 BIF (High: 4.6936 / Low: 4.6604).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5655

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0331

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1100 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1100

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.6734) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.3794), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7059 (-13.12%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.6734

2015 Avg (January) 5.3794

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5.0795	4.5141	4.6734
February	4.7212	4.5266	4.5634
March	4.5736	4.4879	4.5419
April	4.5523	4.4486	4.4955
May	4.5413	4.3648	4.4335
June	4.7411	4.3662	4.5120
July	4.6935	4.6410	4.6694
August	4.6974	4.6526	4.6768
September	4.6936	4.6604	4.6770
October	4.7034	4.6638	4.6754
November	4.7014	4.6515	4.6766
December	4.7184	4.6500	4.6785