YEARLY HIGH
8.5477 BIF
YEARLY LOW
4.9250 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0106 BIF

2018 MRO to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 7, valuing the pair at 8.5477. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 8, dropping to 4.9250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6227 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9681 to the December average rate of 5.0631, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.5477 was up 71.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.9980, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,738 BIF
2017 Average 23,935 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 24,625 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,113.59 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.2763
4.9380
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9748, compared to 5.0463 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0715 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9748
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0463

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 3.5907 BIF (High: 8.5477 / Low: 4.9570). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0413 BIF (High: 4.9888 / Low: 4.9475).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.5907
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2068 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2068

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 5.2482) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.8577), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3904 (+8.04%).

2018 Avg (October) 5.2482
2017 Avg (October) 4.8577

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0027 4.9387 4.9681
February 4.9888 4.9475 4.9662
March 5.0169 4.9309 4.9664
April 5.0155 4.9419 4.9839
May 5.0352 4.9400 4.9800
June 5.0239 4.9387 4.9843
July 5.0225 4.9250 4.9747
August 5.0239 4.9378 4.9788
September 5.0098 4.9532 4.9717
October 8.5477 4.9570 5.2482
November 5.0868 4.9542 5.0413
December 5.1120 5.0022 5.0631