YEARLY HIGH
5.3758 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.7797 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1079 UGX

2018 MWK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MWK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 5.3758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.7797.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5960 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0188 to the December average rate of 4.9651, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.3758 was up 6.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.0532, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MWK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,879 UGX
2017 Average 24,920 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 23,899 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,980.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.2558
4.9387
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MWK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0760, compared to 5.1398 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0638 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0760
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1398

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.5620 UGX (High: 5.3605 / Low: 4.7984). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0507 UGX (High: 5.0500 / Low: 4.9993).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5620
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0507

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1761 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1761

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 5.1720) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9749), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1972 (+3.96%).

2018 Avg (July) 5.1720
2017 Avg (July) 4.9749

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0446 4.9921 5.0188
February 5.0500 4.9993 5.0168
March 5.0898 5.0147 5.0409
April 5.1373 5.0270 5.0937
May 5.2414 4.9647 5.1671
June 5.3605 4.7984 5.1187
July 5.3758 5.0707 5.1720
August 5.1837 5.0676 5.1336
September 5.2630 5.1753 5.2294
October 5.2585 5.1616 5.1977
November 5.1665 5.1144 5.1412
December 5.1423 4.7797 4.9651