YEARLY HIGH
3.6992 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.2333 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3621 UGX

2023 MWK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MWK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 3.6992. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 2.2333.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4659 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6082 to the December average rate of 2.2450, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.6992 was down 20.53% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.6546, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MWK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,496 UGX
2022 Average 19,959 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,166 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,329.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.7948
2.1042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MWK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6241, compared to 3.1002 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5239 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6241
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1002

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was November, with a trading range of 1.1457 UGX (High: 3.3869 / Low: 2.2412). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0268 UGX (High: 2.2601 / Low: 2.2333).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1457
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0268

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5399 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 3.6397) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.4279), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7881 (-17.80%).

2023 Avg (March) 3.6397
2022 Avg (March) 4.4279

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6405 3.5731 3.6082
February 3.6267 3.5686 3.5924
March 3.6992 3.5482 3.6397
April 3.6857 3.6312 3.6539
May 3.6883 3.6180 3.6346
June 3.6703 3.4780 3.6156
July 3.5196 3.4294 3.4823
August 3.4608 3.3255 3.4230
September 3.5499 3.3676 3.4479
October 3.4811 3.2277 3.2713
November 3.3869 2.2412 2.7314
December 2.2601 2.2333 2.2450