YEARLY HIGH
5.3141 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.7256 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9962 UGX

2020 MWK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MWK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 5.3141. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 4.7256.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5885 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9964 to the December average rate of 4.7783, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.3141 was up 1.19% compared to the 2019 peak of 5.2515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MWK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,571 UGX
2019 Average 25,234 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 23,628 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,942.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.1851
4.7413
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MWK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0788, compared to 4.9136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1652 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0788
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2924 UGX (High: 5.3141 / Low: 5.0217). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0435 UGX (High: 4.9509 / Low: 4.9074).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2924
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0435

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1042 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 5.1165) against the same month in 2019 (average: 5.1033), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0131 (+0.26%).

2020 Avg (March) 5.1165
2019 Avg (March) 5.1033

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0427 4.9705 4.9964
February 5.0343 4.9660 5.0064
March 5.3141 5.0217 5.1165
April 5.1971 5.1033 5.1384
May 5.1818 5.1203 5.1481
June 5.1158 5.0393 5.0671
July 5.0636 4.9705 5.0254
August 4.9750 4.8984 4.9314
September 4.9509 4.9074 4.9316
October 4.9627 4.9101 4.9325
November 4.9556 4.8365 4.8825
December 4.8449 4.7256 4.7783