YEARLY HIGH
6.4286 DJF
YEARLY LOW
6.0369 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2153 DJF

2016 NIO to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NIO to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 6.4286. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 6.0369.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3917 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3868 to the December average rate of 6.0915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.4286 was down 4.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.7429, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,143 DJF
2015 Average 32,798 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 30,185 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,958.29 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.4163
6.0620
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2966, compared to 6.1340 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1626 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2966
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1340

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1293 DJF (High: 6.4280 / Low: 6.2987). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0384 DJF (High: 6.2428 / Low: 6.2044).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1293
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0384

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0679 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0679

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6.3868) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.6947), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3080 (-4.60%).

2016 Avg (January) 6.3868
2015 Avg (January) 6.6947

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4286 6.3429 6.3868
February 6.4280 6.2987 6.3370
March 6.3205 6.2743 6.2907
April 6.3408 6.2657 6.3039
May 6.2584 6.2107 6.2360
June 6.2428 6.2044 6.2250
July 6.2280 6.1458 6.2023
August 6.1983 6.1256 6.1533
September 6.1542 6.1004 6.1273
October 6.1499 6.0910 6.1183
November 6.1414 6.0885 6.1110
December 6.1523 6.0369 6.0915