YEARLY HIGH
5.3112 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.0411 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1761 DJF

2020 NIO to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the NIO to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 5.3112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 10, dropping to 5.0411.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2701 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2444 to the December average rate of 5.1070, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.3112 was down 3.43% compared to the 2019 peak of 5.4996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,556 DJF
2019 Average 26,770 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 25,205 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,350.73 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.2583
5.0905
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2317, compared to 5.1205 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1205

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.1450 DJF (High: 5.2969 / Low: 5.1520). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 DJF (High: 5.1149 / Low: 5.1010).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1450
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0626 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 5.2418) against the same month in 2019 (average: 5.4243), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1825 (-3.36%).

2020 Avg (March) 5.2418
2019 Avg (March) 5.4243

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2892 5.2023 5.2444
February 5.2772 5.2046 5.2372
March 5.3112 5.1971 5.2418
April 5.2969 5.1520 5.2207
May 5.2804 5.1534 5.2358
June 5.2567 5.1453 5.2102
July 5.2309 5.1218 5.1475
August 5.1689 5.1046 5.1202
September 5.1467 5.0995 5.1215
October 5.1378 5.1084 5.1223
November 5.1267 5.0411 5.1045
December 5.1149 5.1010 5.1070