YEARLY HIGH
5.8079 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.4584 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6179 DJF

2018 NIO to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NIO to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.8079. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 5.4584.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3495 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7720 to the December average rate of 5.4882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8079 was down 5.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.1400, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,040 DJF
2017 Average 29,814 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 27,292 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,747.32 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8004
5.4599
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6876, compared to 5.5483 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1393 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6876
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5483

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0841 DJF (High: 5.8079 / Low: 5.7238). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 DJF (High: 5.6858 / Low: 5.6534).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0841
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0721 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0721

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.7720) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.0781), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3061 (-5.04%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.7720
2017 Avg (January) 6.0781

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8079 5.7238 5.7720
February 5.7368 5.6618 5.7000
March 5.6965 5.6602 5.6827
April 5.6858 5.6534 5.6693
May 5.6891 5.6373 5.6646
June 5.6524 5.6149 5.6368
July 5.6459 5.5708 5.6112
August 5.6114 5.5589 5.5845
September 5.5761 5.5159 5.5581
October 5.5635 5.5085 5.5343
November 5.5490 5.4954 5.5131
December 5.5039 5.4584 5.4882