YEARLY HIGH
33.6628 RSD
YEARLY LOW
29.5983 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.1301 RSD

2014 PEN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the PEN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 33.6628. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 29.5983.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0645 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.1567 to the December average rate of 33.3221, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 33.6628 was down 0.43% compared to the 2013 peak of 33.8068, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 168,314 RSD
2013 Average 157,719 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 147,991 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,322.45 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

33.6720
29.4738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.1149, compared to 32.1454 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0305 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.1149
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.1454

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 1.0909 RSD (High: 30.6891 / Low: 29.5983). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4063 RSD (High: 30.4152 / Low: 30.0088).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.0909
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4063

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3293 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 33.3221) against the same month in 2013 (average: 30.0549), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2672 (+10.87%).

2014 Avg (December) 33.3221
2013 Avg (December) 30.0549

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 30.4097 29.7617 30.1567
February 30.4152 30.0088 30.1529
March 30.1533 29.6028 29.8236
April 30.1487 29.7257 29.9675
May 30.6891 29.5983 30.1797
June 30.6954 30.2370 30.4088
July 31.2445 30.2733 30.8158
August 31.5529 31.0547 31.3265
September 32.4502 31.4868 32.1206
October 32.6816 32.1697 32.3995
November 33.2422 32.4697 32.8876
December 33.6628 32.9893 33.3221