YEARLY HIGH
32.2663 RSD
YEARLY LOW
30.4042 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.5477 RSD

2019 PEN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PEN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 31, valuing the pair at 32.2663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 30.4042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8621 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.0083 to the December average rate of 31.5582, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 32.2663 was up 2.09% compared to the 2018 peak of 31.6062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 161,331 RSD
2018 Average 152,444 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 152,021 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,310.32 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

31.9862
30.9195
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.4610, compared to 31.6343 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.4610
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.6343

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.1127 RSD (High: 32.0625 / Low: 30.9498). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2524 RSD (High: 31.8930 / Low: 31.6406).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.1127
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2524

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5619 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5619

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 31.8973) against the same month in 2018 (average: 30.8149), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0824 (+3.51%).

2019 Avg (July) 31.8973
2018 Avg (July) 30.8149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.3901 30.4042 31.0083
February 31.5510 31.0756 31.3521
March 31.8725 31.3373 31.5954
April 31.8930 31.6406 31.7890
May 31.8405 31.3046 31.6533
June 31.5549 31.0418 31.3681
July 32.2663 31.6576 31.8973
August 32.0625 30.9498 31.3354
September 32.0798 31.4374 31.8064
October 31.7837 31.4721 31.6482
November 31.8309 31.3715 31.5603
December 32.0060 31.0142 31.5582