YEARLY HIGH
27.5218 RSD
YEARLY LOW
24.1250 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.6638 RSD

2021 PEN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PEN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 9, valuing the pair at 27.5218. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 24.1250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3968 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.6821 to the December average rate of 25.7234, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 27.5218 was down 14.99% compared to the 2020 peak of 32.3730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 137,609 RSD
2020 Average 147,807 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 120,625 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,984.18 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

26.9249
24.0603
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.2215, compared to 25.1060 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1155 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.2215
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.1060

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.0082 RSD (High: 27.5218 / Low: 25.5136). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2501 RSD (High: 26.7658 / Low: 26.5157).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.0082
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2501

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.9914 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9914

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 26.6861) against the same month in 2020 (average: 31.8155), the exchange rate shifted by -5.1293 (-16.12%).

2021 Avg (April) 26.6861
2020 Avg (April) 31.8155

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 26.9654 26.2750 26.6821
February 26.9766 26.4488 26.6769
March 26.7658 26.5157 26.6519
April 27.5218 25.5136 26.6861
May 26.5969 25.0195 25.6948
June 25.2280 24.6062 24.9373
July 25.6308 24.7577 25.2433
August 25.1723 24.3183 24.4942
September 24.5793 24.1250 24.2990
October 25.8143 24.4905 25.2177
November 26.1288 25.2566 25.6587
December 26.1077 25.4050 25.7234