2012 PGK to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4721.4815 IDR

YEARLY LOW

4218.3333 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

4523.5894 IDR

2012 PGK to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the PGK to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 4721.4815. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 9, dropping to 4218.3333.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 503.1483 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4305.3060 to the December average rate of 4677.9372, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4721.4815 was up 8.85% compared to the 2011 peak of 4337.5032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,607,408 IDR

2011 Average 18,770,140 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 21,091,666 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,515,741.36 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4715.3935

4265.9183

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4410.4400, compared to 4636.7387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 226.2986 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4410.4400

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4636.7387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 249.7117 IDR (High: 4468.0450 / Low: 4218.3333). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 54.6207 IDR (High: 4567.9938 / Low: 4513.3730).

February Spread (Volatile) ±249.7117

June Spread (Stable) ±54.6207

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.9315 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9315

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 4677.9372) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4262.3299), the exchange rate shifted by +415.6073 (+9.75%).

2012 Avg (December) 4677.9372

2011 Avg (December) 4262.3299

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4376.6231	4253.7993	4305.3060
February	4468.0450	4218.3333	4303.3745
March	4482.4741	4343.2128	4374.9572
April	4508.7461	4380.4901	4448.8641
May	4600.3980	4425.0778	4491.1126
June	4567.9938	4513.3730	4539.0259
July	4641.2034	4466.2005	4573.2776
August	4645.1150	4556.0949	4600.3898
September	4696.0538	4583.8899	4646.5289
October	4712.4474	4617.1976	4659.5740
November	4692.9239	4634.7928	4662.7245
December	4721.4815	4618.8622	4677.9372