2018 PGK to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4563.2303 IDR

YEARLY LOW

4133.5755 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

4308.5735 IDR

2018 PGK to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 24, valuing the pair at 4563.2303. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 4133.5755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 429.6547 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4161.4438 to the December average rate of 4312.3408, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4563.2303 was up 7.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 4259.8161, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,816,151 IDR

2017 Average 20,973,210 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 20,667,878 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,148,273.63 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4571.3916

4124.1758

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4246.1896, compared to 4370.9574 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 124.7679 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4246.1896

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4370.9574

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 240.4226 IDR (High: 4518.3376 / Low: 4277.9149). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 28.2065 IDR (High: 4346.5168 / Low: 4318.3103).

November Spread (Volatile) ±240.4226

August Spread (Stable) ±28.2065

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 164.5960 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -164.5960

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4534.1236) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4226.1566), the exchange rate shifted by +307.9670 (+7.29%).

2018 Avg (October) 4534.1236

2017 Avg (October) 4226.1566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4225.3348	4133.5755	4161.4438
February	4295.3031	4159.8099	4222.3193
March	4314.8609	4224.9836	4268.5357
April	4288.0248	4223.6877	4252.0860
May	4342.2773	4231.5979	4299.1399
June	4330.2007	4182.6586	4273.6128
July	4364.1233	4323.4889	4342.4219
August	4346.5168	4318.3103	4331.6542
September	4359.9078	4325.7712	4335.6765
October	4563.2303	4367.2586	4534.1236
November	4518.3376	4277.9149	4369.5276
December	4355.0075	4220.5432	4312.3408