2016 PGK to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4639.2892 IDR

YEARLY LOW

4071.5461 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

4251.4914 IDR

2016 PGK to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 4639.2892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 4071.5461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 567.7431 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4599.9592 to the December average rate of 4226.1298, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4639.2892 was down 9.33% compared to the 2015 peak of 5116.9294, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,196,446 IDR

2015 Average 24,215,812 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 20,357,730 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,838,715.60 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4649.0479

4059.9843

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4340.8343, compared to 4162.1486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 178.6856 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4340.8343

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4162.1486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 205.1888 IDR (High: 4366.0364 / Low: 4160.8476). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 44.5549 IDR (High: 4165.3356 / Low: 4120.7807).

May Spread (Volatile) ±205.1888

July Spread (Stable) ±44.5549

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 153.0359 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -153.0359

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4599.9592) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4834.4537), the exchange rate shifted by -234.4944 (-4.85%).

2016 Avg (January) 4599.9592

2015 Avg (January) 4834.4537

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4639.2892	4519.7919	4599.9592
February	4550.2521	4361.1463	4446.9234
March	4389.3563	4256.3080	4297.4141
April	4282.5070	4186.4248	4218.9778
May	4366.0364	4160.8476	4252.6737
June	4318.4510	4161.4843	4229.0573
July	4165.3356	4120.7807	4145.4296
August	4192.6367	4130.9189	4154.5894
September	4197.3429	4089.2081	4139.5010
October	4132.8205	4071.5461	4109.0729
November	4285.7339	4110.7565	4198.1691
December	4290.8183	4132.6466	4226.1298