YEARLY HIGH
4.1416 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.9156 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0204 DJF

2014 PHP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the PHP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 4.1416. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 3.9156.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2259 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9593 to the December average rate of 3.9923, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.1416 was down 5.67% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.3906, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,035,393 DJF
2013 Average 1,046,304 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 978,912 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 56,480.82 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.1253
3.9442
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0104, compared to 4.0305 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0200 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0104
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0305

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1497 DJF (High: 4.1075 / Low: 3.9578). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0469 DJF (High: 3.9970 / Low: 3.9501).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1497
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0469

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0576 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 4.1102) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.0984), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0118 (+0.29%).

2014 Avg (July) 4.1102
2013 Avg (July) 4.0984

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0133 3.9171 3.9593
February 4.0055 3.9156 3.9693
March 4.0127 3.9339 3.9758
April 4.0450 3.9428 4.0042
May 4.1109 4.0015 4.0730
June 4.1065 4.0398 4.0809
July 4.1416 4.0694 4.1102
August 4.1067 4.0541 4.0834
September 4.1075 3.9578 4.0416
October 4.0088 3.9599 3.9840
November 3.9970 3.9501 3.9713
December 4.0210 3.9736 3.9923